Friday, March 3, 2006
E.K. Nation Oscar Predictions Gasoline Fire
Let's get this in there for the record on Oscar morning. Last year we were six-for-six in the acting, director and picture categories, just so you all know how spectacular we are:
Best Actor will be Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Capote"). We're pretty sure about that. Of course, we were sure in September that the Colts would win the Super Bowl.
Best Actress will be Reese Witherspoon ("Walk The Line"), although it would not shock us at all to see Felicity Huffman ("Transamerica") win it.
Best Supporting Actor is a tough call; really anyone could win except for maybe William Hurt. Jake Gyllenhaal could win if there is a "Brokeback Mountain" edge; George Clooney ("Syriana") could win if the Academy wants to make sure he gets one award out of the three he is nominated for; Matt Dillon ("Crash") could win if the Academy wants to recognize a lengthy and impressive career and a really, really good ensemble cast; and Paul Giamatti ("Cinderella Man") could win if the Academy wants to apologize for egregiously leaving him off the ballot the last two years. Our guess is that Dillon will win it for reasons cited.
Our guess for Best Supporting Actress is Rachel Weisz ("The Constant Gardener"). Support for the movie faded as the nomination ballots went out, but Weisz is the driving force behind the movie. This is not our personal preference, though; that distinxction belongs to Amy Adams, who so owns "Junebug". We'd go so far as to say she is "luminous" and "delightful", and frankly she is the reason the movie was interesting. We just don't think enough people have seen it. Then again, enough people voted her a nomination. We are proud to have two members of the E.K. Nation Babe Hall of Fame nominated in this category, Weisz and Michelle Williams ("Brokeback Mountain").
Best Director will be Ang Lee ("Brokeback Mountain"). The Director's Guild Award, which went to Lee this year, is almost always an indicator of who will win on Oscar night.
Best Picture is a toss-up. "Brokeback Mountain" is pretty much a cultural hit, if not a box-office smash. But "Crash" was powerful, whereas "Brokeback" was not, really. This one is the toughest call of all. We want to say that since "Crash" was better, the Academy will honor "Brokeback." So that's what we will do. "Brokeback Mountain" is the call.
Best Actor will be Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Capote"). We're pretty sure about that. Of course, we were sure in September that the Colts would win the Super Bowl.
Best Actress will be Reese Witherspoon ("Walk The Line"), although it would not shock us at all to see Felicity Huffman ("Transamerica") win it.
Best Supporting Actor is a tough call; really anyone could win except for maybe William Hurt. Jake Gyllenhaal could win if there is a "Brokeback Mountain" edge; George Clooney ("Syriana") could win if the Academy wants to make sure he gets one award out of the three he is nominated for; Matt Dillon ("Crash") could win if the Academy wants to recognize a lengthy and impressive career and a really, really good ensemble cast; and Paul Giamatti ("Cinderella Man") could win if the Academy wants to apologize for egregiously leaving him off the ballot the last two years. Our guess is that Dillon will win it for reasons cited.
Our guess for Best Supporting Actress is Rachel Weisz ("The Constant Gardener"). Support for the movie faded as the nomination ballots went out, but Weisz is the driving force behind the movie. This is not our personal preference, though; that distinxction belongs to Amy Adams, who so owns "Junebug". We'd go so far as to say she is "luminous" and "delightful", and frankly she is the reason the movie was interesting. We just don't think enough people have seen it. Then again, enough people voted her a nomination. We are proud to have two members of the E.K. Nation Babe Hall of Fame nominated in this category, Weisz and Michelle Williams ("Brokeback Mountain").
Best Director will be Ang Lee ("Brokeback Mountain"). The Director's Guild Award, which went to Lee this year, is almost always an indicator of who will win on Oscar night.
Best Picture is a toss-up. "Brokeback Mountain" is pretty much a cultural hit, if not a box-office smash. But "Crash" was powerful, whereas "Brokeback" was not, really. This one is the toughest call of all. We want to say that since "Crash" was better, the Academy will honor "Brokeback." So that's what we will do. "Brokeback Mountain" is the call.
